Moberg A, Sonechkin DM, Holmgren K, Datsenko NM, Karlén W, Lauritzen SE, Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data. Nature. 2005 Feb 10;433(7026):613-7.
Abstract
A number of reconstructions of millennial-scale climate variability have been carried out in order to understand patterns of natural climate variability, on decade to century timescales, and the role of anthropogenic forcing. These reconstructions have mainly used tree-ring data and other data sets of annual to decadal resolution. Lake and ocean sediments have a lower time resolution, but provide climate information at multicentennial timescales that may not be captured by tree-ring data. Here we reconstruct Northern Hemisphere temperatures for the past 2,000 years by combining low-resolution proxies with tree-ring data, using a wavelet transform technique to achieve timescale-dependent processing of the data. Our reconstruction shows larger multicentennial variability than most previous multi-proxy reconstructions, but agrees well with temperatures reconstructed from borehole measurements and with temperatures obtained with a general circulation model. According to our reconstruction, high temperatures—similar to those observed in the twentieth century before 1990—occurred around ad 1000 to 1100, and minimum temperatures that are about 0.7 K below the average of 1961-90 occurred around ad 1600. This large natural variability in the past suggests an important role of natural multicentennial variability that is likely to continue.
Available
here.
Corrigendum Nature 439, 1014(23 February 2006)
The authorship of this Letter is amended to include Stein-Erik Lauritzen. Details of the Søylegrotta Cave record (series 8), which should have been accredited to S.-E.L., were not supplied in the paper but are available from the corresponding author (A.M., Email: anders.moberg@natgeo.su.se) on request.
In addition, the tree-ring-width data from the Indigirka river region (series G) were inadvertently used without the proper permissions: although the series has been discussed in the literature1, they are unpublished data that have not been made publicly available; they may, however, be obtained through A.M.
Available
here.
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